The Crimson Tide leads the all-time series over the Tigers with a record of 47-32-1, winning three out of the past four contests. Last season, Alabama defeated Auburn 24-22 in four overtimes. Bryce Young threw for 317 yards and two TDs, including a 28-yard strike to Ja’Corey Brooks that tied the game with 24 seconds left in regulation.

Auburn won their second consecutive game on Saturday, defeating Western Kentucky 41-17 at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Tigers leaned on the running back duo of Tank Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter, who rushed for 219 yards and three touchdowns. The Tigers’ defense forced Hilltoppers QB Austin Reed into two interceptions and shut out Western Kentucky’s offense in the second half.

Meanwhile, Alabama crushed Austin Peay (FCS) 34-0 on Saturday for their second-straight win. Young had an efficient performance under center, completing 18-of-24 passes for 221 yards and two touchdown passes. Both touchdown passes went to junior wide receiver Jermaine Burton, who led both teams with seven receptions for 128 yards. The Tide also got a big performance from junior running back Jase McClellan, who produced 156 yards and two touchdowns on 17 carries. Alabama ran for 263 yards and will look to carry that momentum into the Iron Bowl against a less-than-stellar Auburn run defense.

Below, we’ll break down what you need to know before you bet on this Week 13 matchup between these SEC rivals.

2022 CFB ODDS: Heisman | CFP and National Champion

Auburn vs. Alabama odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Spread: Alabama -22 Over/under: 50. 5 Moneyline: Auburn +1000; Alabama -2000

— The Tigers are 4-2 against the spread in their past six games against the Crimson Tide.

— Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban is 29-12 ATS as a favorite between 21.5-31 points, according to BetQL.com

—  Alabama is 20-0 straight up in their past 20 home games and 17-3 straight up in their past 20 games overall.

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Three things to watch  

— Can the Tigers slow down the Crimson Tide’s ground attack?: If the Tigers want to pull off the massive upset on Saturday, they will need their defense to win at the line of scrimmage and contain the Crimson Tide’s ground attack. This season, Alabama is averaging 199.5 rushing yards per game, thanks in large part to junior running back Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs did not play in Saturday’s game against Austin Peay because of an ankle injury. If Gibbs can play next week, it will give Alabama’s offense an extra boost.

The Tigers’ defense has struggled to stop the run this season, allowing 172.6 yards per game. In their past two wins against Western Kentucky and Texas A&M, Auburn only gave up 89.5 rushing yards per game. However, when they lost five-straight games earlier in the season, The Tigers’ defense allowed 242.8 rushing yards per game.

—  What will Bryce Young do in his final home game?: With Young projected to be one of the top picks in next year’s NFL Draft, next weekend’s game against the Tigers could be his last game in Tuscaloosa. He isn’t putting up the same numbers we saw last season (47 TDs and four INTs) en route to winning the Heisman Trophy. However, Young is playing solid football, completing 63.8 of his passes for 2,664 yards, 24 touchdowns, and four interceptions. Young has been flawless under center at home, completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 1,286 yards, 16 touchdowns, and only two interceptions. We should expect Young to have no problems against the Tigers’ defense, which is giving up 27.7 points per game.

—  Can Tank Bigsby carry Auburn’s offense?: The Tigers will be looking for their outstanding junior running back to lead the way next weekend against the Crimson Tide. This season, Bigsby has been one of the best running backs in the SEC, posting 907 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns in 11 games this season. Bigsby faces a tough challenge against an Alabama defense that allows 107.8 rushing yards per game this season. In two previous games against Bama, Bigsby averaged just 51 yards per game.

Auburn vs. Alabama prediction 

Last season’s Iron Bowl was a thriller between these two rivals, but we shouldn’t expect the same result next weekend. The Crimson Tide will be looking to send a message to the CFP committee in their last regular season contest, as they won’t be playing in the SEC Championship game. The Tigers’ run defense is not great this season and will be exploited by Saban and Co. Take the Crimson Tide to cover in what should be a blowout win.

Final score: Alabama 45, Arkansas 10. Alabama (-22) covers the spread, and the total goes OVER (50.5).