The poll, which was conducted by YouGov/The Economist, found 53 percent of likely voters saying they will vote for Biden on Election Day, compared with 43 percent that said Trump.
YouGov/The Economist surveyed 1,500 registered voters from October 31 to November 2 and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
In comparison, the final poll conducted by YouGov/The Economist before the 2016 election found Clinton holding a four-point lead, as 45 percent said they’d vote for her compared with 41 percent that chose Trump.
Despite Clinton’s lead over Trump prior to Election Day in 2016, Trump went on to win the presidency and is seeking his second term this year.
The most recent poll also found Biden ahead of Trump in every age category, with his largest lead among those between the ages of 30 and 44. According to the poll, among those between the ages of 18 and 29, 58 percent said they will vote for the former vice president, while 35 percent chose Trump. Biden currently holds a 24-point lead among those between the ages of 30 and 44, as 60 percent said they’ll vote for Biden, compared with 36 percent that said Trump.
Among those between the ages of 45 and 64, Biden holds a two-point lead (49 to 47 percent), while among those aged 65 and older, 51 percent said they’ll vote for Biden and 47 percent said Trump.
Additionally, the poll also asked those who have already voted in the 2020 election and found Biden ahead by nine points.
According to the poll, 49 percent of respondents said they already voted for Biden, compared with 40 percent that said they voted for Trump.
Comparatively, in the final poll conducted prior to the 2016 elections, among those who already voted, 49 percent said they voted for Clinton, while 42 percent said Trump.
While Biden’s lead over Trump is larger than Clinton’s at the same point in 2016, several other nationally conducted polls show a tight race between the two candidates.
Biden currently holds a seven-point lead over Trump in a poll conducted by Reuters/Ipsos. According to this poll, 52 percent of likely voters said they plan to for Biden, while 45 percent chose Trump.
Another poll conducted by Investors Business Daily/TIPP found the former vice president ahead by 3.2 points, as 48.8 percent said they’d vote for him, compared with 45.6 percent that chose Trump.